Eight Days to Go!
We are now being bombarded with wildly differing polls and predictions about who is ahead in this election? Pretty scary, right? Well, maybe. But here are some things to keep in mind:
1. Kerry is statistically tied or ahead in the key battleground states that will decide the election: Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida.
2. Bush's approval rating stands at an anemic 44%, and no president under 50% this late in the game has ever won re-election.
3. Most polls count only "likely voters," which is based on past elections, ignoring that many more "registered voters" will turn out this year.
4. Most polls are ignoring new voters, including the millions newly registered in swing states by progressive, anti-Bush groups.
5. Many polls are actually polling more Republicans than Democrats!
Feeling better?
Good. :)
1. Kerry is statistically tied or ahead in the key battleground states that will decide the election: Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida.
2. Bush's approval rating stands at an anemic 44%, and no president under 50% this late in the game has ever won re-election.
3. Most polls count only "likely voters," which is based on past elections, ignoring that many more "registered voters" will turn out this year.
4. Most polls are ignoring new voters, including the millions newly registered in swing states by progressive, anti-Bush groups.
5. Many polls are actually polling more Republicans than Democrats!
Feeling better?
Good. :)
posted by Price at 8:53 AM
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